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Would a supplemental line pay for your plan?
A 43% loss ratio looks like a 57% margin until commissions, admin, premium tax and the cost of standing the product up come out. Enter your member base and assumptions; get the margin, the break-even take-up rate and three stress tests. Example values are illustrative — replace them with your own.
Method and limits
- One steady-state year. Policies in force = eligible × take-up. Premium = policies × monthly premium × 12. Claims, commissions, administration and premium tax are shares of premium; fixed cost is subtracted once.
- Break-even = fixed cost ÷ contribution per policy, where contribution = annual premium × (1 − loss ratio − commissions − administration − tax).
- Stress tests. Adverse selection: loss ratio +10 points. Weak enrollment: take-up halved. Broker-led distribution: commissions +10 points.
- Result bands (directional, not a pricing standard): Build the business case when the base margin is at least 5% of premium and every stress test stays at or above zero; Pilot first when the base case is positive but a stress test goes negative; Not on these numbers when the base case loses money.
- Benchmarks are 2024 NAIC segment figures. Premium per policy = segment premium ÷ policies or certificates of listed groups. The loss-ratio range covers carriers with at least $10M of premium. Hospital indemnity has no NAIC group segment; group critical illness and accident premiums per certificate are not comparable with individual policies.
- Not modeled: first-year acquisition costs and lapse, reserves and capital, reinsurance, investment income, state-specific form and rate filing timelines, and the excepted-benefit rules a fixed indemnity product has to meet to stay outside major-medical regulation.
Sources
Want this on your own membership data?
We size take-up and expected claims from your eligibility and claims history, so the first filing rests on your members rather than market averages.
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